Credibility of Confidence Intervals
نویسنده
چکیده
Classical confidence intervals are often misunderstood by particle physicists and the general public alike. The confusion arises from the two different definitions of probability in common use. As a result, there is general dissatisfaction when confidence intervals are empty or they exclude parameter values for which the experiment is insensitive. In order to clarify these issues, the relation between confidence intervals and credible intervals is explored. A method to identify problematic confidence intervals is demonstrated for two cases.
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